The wine market now: where capital is actually moving in March 2026

March 29, 2026Stephanie Kerr

Over the past few weeks, the fine wine market hasn’t moved in a straight line.

It’s rotated.

We’re seeing capital shift across regions week to week, but importantly, it’s not random. It’s following a very consistent pattern - liquidity first, conviction second.

That’s what defines this phase of the market.

 

In this blog you’ll learn

  • Where trade is actually happening right now
  • Why Bordeaux continues to anchor the market
  • How capital is rotating across regions
  • What recent Liv-ex data is really telling us
  • How to interpret this phase as a collector

 

What the latest data is showing

Looking at recent Liv-ex trading activity, the market is active, but selective.

At a glance, this looks like volatility.

It’s not.

It’s rotation within a stabilising market.

Caption: Liv-ex trade share by region (March 2026). Burgundy led the market with a 32% share of traded value. Domaine de la Romanee-Conti came out on top by traded value, Domaine Leflaive took the top spot by volume. Source: Liv-ex

Why Bordeaux remains the strongest market

Even when Bordeaux briefly loses the top spot, it consistently returns.

That’s not coincidence.

It’s structural.

1. Depth of market

Bordeaux is still the most liquid region in fine wine.

There are:

  • more participants
  • more vintages actively trading
  • more price transparency

That creates a market where capital can move in and out efficiently.

When confidence is rebuilding, that matters.

Add one more to the collection?🍷

 

2. Pricing has reset

Recent trades show wines coming back to market at or below release levels.

For example, newer vintages are beginning to trade below ex-negociant pricing, creating clear entry points for buyers

That does two things:

  • removes downside uncertainty
  • attracts value-driven buying

This is typically where serious capital starts to re-engage.

 

3. Global recognition and trust

The most actively traded wines continue to be:

These are globally recognised, highly traded, and consistently priced.

When buyers re-enter the market, they don’t start with fringe producers.

They start here.

 

What the rotation is actually telling us

The movement between Bordeaux, Burgundy, Champagne and the US isn’t random.

It reflects how confidence rebuilds.

Step 1: capital returns to liquid markets

Bordeaux leads

Step 2: capital moves to top-end scarcity

Burgundy led by Domaine de la Romanée-Conti

Step 3: capital expands to adjacent regions

Champagne, Tuscany, US

Step 4: breadth increases

Mid-tier and secondary producers follow

We’re currently moving between steps one and two.

 

Other regions are strengthening, but selectively

Outside Bordeaux, activity is building, but still concentrated.

Burgundy

Trading is heavily skewed toward the very top end.

  • Domaine de la Romanée-Conti dominating by value

This is not broad-based demand yet.

It’s targeted.

 

United States

The US has re-emerged meaningfully.

  • ~15% share of trade
  • driven largely by Opus One
  • supported by Screaming Eagle

This shows international capital expanding outward, but still concentrating on known names.

Add one more to the collection?🍷

 

Champagne and Italy

Both are seeing consistent participation, but not leading.

  • Champagne driven by high-end cuvées like Dom Pérignon P2
  • Italy led by producers like Sassicaia

These markets are following, not driving, the current phase.

 

How to read this phase

This isn’t a market being driven by hype.

It’s being driven by:

  • liquidity
  • pricing resets
  • global demand for proven producers

That’s a very different environment to 2021-2022.

We’re seeing:

  • more disciplined buying
  • less speculative activity
  • clearer separation between top-tier and everything else

 

The key takeaway

The most important shift right now isn’t price.

It’s behaviour.

We’re seeing:

  • consistent trading
  • capital returning through trusted names
  • rotation expanding, but still anchored

That’s how markets stabilise before they move higher.

 

Final thought

Bordeaux continuing to lead, even as other regions have strong weeks, is one of the clearest signals in the market right now.

It reinforces a simple point:

When confidence returns, it doesn’t spread evenly.

It builds from the most liquid, most trusted part of the market first.

Everything else follows.

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